Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.001277 0.001433 0.001589 0.001756 0.001930 0.002105 0.002294
2025-10-26 0.001022 0.001247 0.001479 0.001733 0.002003 0.002280 0.002584
2025-11-02 0.000819 0.001093 0.001384 0.001711 0.002065 0.002433 0.002842
2025-11-09 0.000658 0.000969 0.001309 0.001700 0.002130 0.002583 0.003092
2025-11-16 0.000530 0.000868 0.001250 0.001698 0.002199 0.002733 0.003337
2025-11-23 0.000424 0.000781 0.001199 0.001699 0.002266 0.002876 0.003571
2025-11-30 0.000367 0.000747 0.001205 0.001761 0.002397 0.003086 0.003876
2025-12-07 0.000285 0.000672 0.001156 0.001755 0.002449 0.003206 0.004079
2025-12-14 0.000202 0.000585 0.001085 0.001719 0.002462 0.003281 0.004230
2025-12-21 0.000160 0.000549 0.001075 0.001752 0.002552 0.003438 0.004470
2025-12-28 0.000103 0.000477 0.001014 0.001720 0.002565 0.003507 0.004609
2026-01-04 0.000070 0.000439 0.000994 0.001736 0.002632 0.003635 0.004812
2026-01-11 0.000026 0.000366 0.000936 0.001720 0.002681 0.003766 0.005047
2026-01-18 0.000001 0.000298 0.000878 0.001703 0.002728 0.003897 0.005284
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000236 0.000821 0.001685 0.002774 0.004025 0.005519
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000185 0.000774 0.001676 0.002830 0.004165 0.005765
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000143 0.000736 0.001676 0.002894 0.004312 0.006020
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000108 0.000701 0.001678 0.002959 0.004460 0.006274
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000097 0.000710 0.001740 0.003098 0.004694 0.006624
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000067 0.000674 0.001735 0.003151 0.004825 0.006856
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000036 0.000618 0.001699 0.003164 0.004907 0.007031
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000025 0.000611 0.001732 0.003262 0.005089 0.007319
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000007 0.000562 0.001700 0.003277 0.005170 0.007490